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Election 2025: Day 36, The final leg of the election race & generational divides exposed

Apr 28, 2025
In this insightful discussion, Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos Global Public Affairs, and Ginny Roth, Partner at Crestview Strategy, dive deep into the 2025 election landscape. They highlight the stark generational divides in political preferences, noting younger voters' surprising lean towards Conservative views. The duo also ponders the implications of increased voter engagement and barriers to participation. Finally, they analyze recent polling trends that reveal significant shifts in support dynamics across Canada, especially between urban and suburban regions.
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INSIGHT

Generational & Gender Divide in Voting

  • The election reveals strong generational and gender divides in voting preferences between Boomers and younger voters.
  • Older women heavily favor Liberals due to concerns about Trump; younger men favor Conservatives driven by economic anxieties like housing.
ANECDOTE

Polyve Rally's Youthful Energy

  • At Pierre Polyve's final Ontario rally, the crowd was diverse, enthusiastic, and grassroots-driven.
  • Many attendees distrusted polls, expecting a Conservative "blue wave" despite close numbers.
INSIGHT

Polls May Underestimate Youth Impact

  • Polls may misestimate seat counts because they rely on outdated turnout and regional data models.
  • Higher youth turnout could surprise by favoring Conservatives more than predicted.
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