

False Dawn: A Conversation with George Selgin on Recovering from the Great Depression
May 14, 2025
In this engaging conversation, George Selgin, a senior fellow at the Cato Institute and a professor emeritus at the University of Georgia, dives deep into the myths surrounding the New Deal. He argues that its policies may have prolonged the Great Depression rather than alleviating it. Selgin also highlights the roles of fiscal versus monetary policy and reveals the often-overlooked factors that contributed to economic recovery. His insights challenge conventional narratives and stress the importance of learning from history to shape future economic strategies.
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New Deal Didn't End Depression
- The New Deal did not end the Great Depression as unemployment remained extremely high for years.
- Investment spending, crucial for recovery, stayed near zero until after World War II.
Postwar Recovery Beyond Government Spending
- The war's high government spending did not ensure recovery after it ended.
- Postwar economic recovery was due to private sector investment revival, not sustained government spending.
Successful Mortgage Refinancing Program
- The Homeowners Loan Corporation refinanced mortgages to help struggling homeowners and lenders.
- This program eased financial strain and prevented foreclosures, becoming one of the best New Deal efforts.