Monday Match Analysis Is Alcaraz's Serve Just As Good As Sinner's Now? (DATA DIVE) | Monday Match Analysis
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Sep 26, 2025 
In this engaging discussion, Tom Corrie, lead analyst at TennisViz, delves into the fascinating world of tennis analytics. He reveals how Carlos Alcaraz's serve has improved to rival Jannik Sinner's, fueled by data showing significant effectiveness gains. The duo explores Sinner's conversion drops against Alcaraz, highlighting his lack of variation. They also break down Ben Shelton's notable improvements, Holger Rune's strengths, and why Alexander Bublik has surged into the top 20—thanks to a huge serve quality spike and better shot selection.
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Sinner Leads Broadly But Drops Versus Alcaraz
- Yannick Sinner still leads the tour on 52-week serve quality and effectiveness overall.
- However, Alcaraz has closed the gap in recent form and Sinner's numbers dip notably in their head-to-head matches.
Sinner Loses Edge When Attacking Alcaraz
- Sinner's conversion (points won in attack) drops from ~74% overall to ~61% versus Alcaraz.
- This sharp decline shows Sinner struggles to finish points when up against Alcaraz's defense and unpredictability.
Sinner's High Core-Shot Profile
- Sinner plays a high percentage of core shots and lacks variation compared to others.
- That single-style approach works broadly but becomes predictable and less effective specifically against Alcaraz.