The Numbers Is Pierre Poilievre's leadership in trouble?
Oct 21, 2025
The discussion heats up around Pierre Poilievre's leadership as Dimitri Soudas voices concerns about party unity. Polling data reveals mixed feelings among Conservative supporters, prompting a debate on how Poilievre's style might affect his electability. Insights into Canada-U.S. relations also emerge, especially regarding trade negotiations and public opinion on Trump’s influence. Additionally, the podcast reviews municipal election results in Calgary and Edmonton, highlighting polling accuracy in these races and trends across provincial support in Ontario, Quebec, and British Columbia.
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Poilievre Will Stay True To Himself
- Pierre Poilievre's comments signal he will govern as himself rather than shift to the center.
- Philippe Fournier sees no realignment and notes Poilievre still trails Mark Carney on preferred PM.
Assess Leadership By Base And Electability
- To assess leadership vulnerability, watch both base approval and broader electability metrics.
- Pay attention to preferred‑prime‑minister tracking and membership sentiment ahead of leadership reviews.
Strong Support Inside The Conservative Base
- Conservative voters and party members view Poilievre very positively with very high approval.
- Angus Reid/Abacus-style polling shows roughly 84–85% positive impressions among Conservative voters.