Reeves Goes Big: The Everything Everywhere All At Once Budget
Oct 30, 2024
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Dan Hanson, Bloomberg's Chief UK Economist, and John Stepek, 'Money Distilled' columnist, dive into the landmark budget delivered by Chancellor Rachel Reeves. They discuss significant tax changes, including increases in national insurance and capital gains tax, and their implications for businesses and individuals. The pair highlights a massive £100 billion commitment to capital spending, focusing on green initiatives and healthcare. They also analyze the potential effects on small businesses and the economy, while discussing NHS funding increases and fiscal strategies.
The budget introduces significant tax increases totaling £40 billion, marking the largest tax hike since the early 1990s, especially affecting small businesses.
A historic commitment of £74 billion in public spending by 2030 aims to stimulate economic growth through infrastructure and green initiatives.
Deep dives
Key Tax Increases in the New Budget
The recent budget announcement included significant tax increases totaling £40 billion, marking the largest tax hike since the early 1990s. Employers’ national insurance contributions are set to rise by 1.2 percentage points, which will impose additional costs on many businesses, especially small ones. Similarly, capital gains tax rates will increase to 24% for higher earners and 18% for lower earners, impacting investment strategies across the financial landscape. The shift in tax policies also includes the phasing out of the non-domicile tax regime, representing a broader effort to close loopholes that benefit wealthy individuals.
Public Spending and Economic Growth Initiatives
A central feature of the budget is the commitment to increase public spending by £74 billion by 2030, alongside a pledge for real-term growth in public spending. This represents a departure from previous conservative spending plans, which targeted more constrained growth. Among the investments, the Chancellor announced a substantial £100 billion for capital projects over the next five years, aiming to stimulate long-term economic growth by enhancing infrastructure and funding green initiatives. Notable allocations include significant funds for healthcare, education, and green energy projects, projected to boost GDP growth by up to 1.4%.
Reactions and Implications for Individuals and Businesses
Reactions to the budget highlight concerns regarding the increased financial burden on small businesses due to higher national insurance contributions, especially paired with rising minimum wage rates. While certain areas of tax reform, such as capital gains and inheritance tax, did not alter significantly from expectations, the markets responded positively, suggesting relief over what might have been more aggressive changes. Experts expressed skepticism about the long-term impacts of such tax increases, particularly on private investment and overall economic growth. The freeze on fuel duty and inflation projections, alongside the budgeting strategy, signify a complex balancing act aimed at stimulating the economy while managing public finances.
It's Budget Day at last! Rachel Reeves has made history as the first woman to deliver a budget as Chancellor, announcing a package of tax and spending increases and more borrowing for investment. In a special live recording, we bring you the key measures and analysis from our Chief UK Economist Dan Hanson and 'Money Distilled' columnist, John Stepek. Hosted by Stephen Carroll and Yuan Potts.