Voter Vibe Check: Anti-Trump Conservatives On Republican Party Politics In 2024
Feb 5, 2024
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Voter Vibe Check: Anti-Trump conservatives discuss the Republican Party in 2024, including criticism of Trump, evolving dynamics of political culture, and the state of the Republican Party. The podcast also explores the impact of HIV and AIDS, shifting black voter sentiment, and discussions on political views and voting decisions.
Black voters considering the Republican Party in 2024 is not unprecedented and is influenced by differing views on civil rights and government.
There is a growing discontent with the current political landscape, leading voters to explore alternative options beyond the two major parties.
Deep dives
Black voters considering Trump in 2024
Recent polling shows a meaningful number of black voters considering Trump in 2024, particularly among black men in their 20s and 30s. While Democrats are concerned about this shift, it is important to note that black conservatives differ from white conservatives in their views on civil rights and the role of government. The trend of black voters considering the Republican Party as a viable option is not unprecedented, as it was the norm prior to Obama's presidency. However, it remains to be seen how this will translate into actual votes in the upcoming election.
The impact of swing state and non-swing state voters
There is frustration among non-swing state voters who feel that their votes may not make a difference in the outcome of the election. This sentiment echoes concerns about the Electoral College system and the perceived divide between safe and swing states. Despite this frustration, voter turnout has been high in recent elections, indicating that people are still engaged in the political process. Swing state voters, on the other hand, face the dilemma of choosing between two candidates they may not fully support. This highlights the need for more viable options beyond the two-party system.
The role of running mates
The choice of running mate can have varying impacts depending on the target voter group. In the case of black voters, Trump's selection of a conservative black running mate might solidify approval numbers but is no longer seen as significant as it would have been in previous years. On the Republican side, if Trump does not stay on the ballot, the decision of his replacement becomes more uncertain and might not automatically favor Nikki Haley or any specific candidate. The absence of Trump from the ballot would complicate the dynamics for disaffected conservative voters.
Overall voter sentiment and dissatisfaction
There is a prevailing sentiment of dissatisfaction among voters on both sides of the political spectrum. Many conservatives do not feel represented by the Republican Party under Trump, which has led to a sense of abandonment and frustration. Similarly, there are Democrats who are disillusioned by Biden's performance and fear of losing more politically. Voters are increasingly considering their options beyond the two major parties, exploring third-party candidates or abstaining from voting altogether. This reflects a growing discontent with the current political landscape and a desire for change.
Donald J. Trump isn’t the 2024 Republican presidential candidate yet, but his victories in Iowa and New Hampshire suggest that it will be smooth sailing to the GOP nomination for the former president once again — notwithstanding his several impending criminal cases and tons of political baggage.
In this, the first of a series of conversations leading up to the 2024 presidential election, host Kai Wright asks conservative voters who are not aligned with Trump or the MAGA movement some key questions. What do anti-Trump conservatives care about? What space do they occupy in this political landscape? How do they make their voices heard?
Kai also speaks with Theodore R. Johnson, senior advisor at New America focusing on race and Black electoral behavior, and a contributing columnist at the Washington Post; and with David Siders, politics editor at POLITICO who leads their reporting series “Road Trip,” which introduces readers to voters and local political players across the nation.
Tell us what you think. We're @noteswithkai on Instagram and X (Twitter). Email us at notes@wnyc.org. Send us a voice message by recording yourself on your phone and emailing us, or record one here.
Notes from America airs live on Sundays at 6 p.m. ET., and listeners to the broadcast and podcast are invited to join the conversation at 844-745-TALK(8255). Podcast episodes are lightly edited from our live broadcasts.
Tell us what you think. We're @noteswithkai on Instagram and X (Twitter). Email us at notes@wnyc.org. Send us a voice message by recording yourself on your phone and emailing us, or record one here.
Notes from America airs live on Sundays at 6 p.m. ET. The podcast episodes are lightly edited from our live broadcasts.
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