Novara Live

Reform Now UK’s Largest Party, Overtaking Labour

13 snips
Dec 12, 2025
Juan David Rojas, a keen writer and analyst focusing on U.S. actions in Venezuela, joins the discussion. They delve into Reform UK's rise as the largest party amid Labour's decline. Rojas offers insights into the U.S. sanctions on Venezuela, linking them to broader foreign policy goals and domestic signaling. He discusses the implications of Maduro's alleged offers for regime survival. The conversation also highlights the pressure on the International Criminal Court and the influence of U.S. tech on international sovereignty.
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INSIGHT

Reform Overtakes Labour By Membership

  • Reform UK overtook Labour in membership mainly because Labour lost paying activists, not a sudden Reform surge.
  • Membership decline reduces local campaigning capacity and direct-debit funding crucial for elections.
INSIGHT

Labour Membership Likely Overstated

  • Aaron Bastani doubts Labour's reported membership and estimates it nearer 200,000 due to lapsed-member accounting rules.
  • He predicts the Greens may outnumber Labour by next spring if the trend continues.
INSIGHT

Members Matter Even If They Don't Elect PMs

  • Large memberships don't guarantee electoral wins but materially help campaigning, funding and turnout.
  • Reform's membership plus a record £9m donation structurally strengthens their 2025 prospects.
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