The New Statesman | UK politics and culture Israel vs. Iran: what next? | Professor of War Studies, Lawrence Freedman, on the Isreal-Iran conflict.
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Jun 17, 2025 Lawrence Freedman, Emeritus Professor of War Studies at King's College London, sheds light on the escalating Israel-Iran conflict and its broader implications. He discusses Israel's surprise attacks on Iranian sites and the geopolitical motivations driving these actions. Freedman explores the complexities of U.S. involvement, emphasizing how domestic politics influence international relations. Additionally, he reflects on the shifting military dynamics in the Middle East and the potential ramifications for regional stability. A riveting analysis of conflict and strategy in a tumultuous landscape.
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Timing of Israeli Strikes
- Netanyahu launched strikes now because Hamas and Hezbollah were effectively neutralized as retaliators.
- Trump’s mixed signals and rejection of diplomacy gave Netanyahu opportunity to act.
Trump’s Position and Deterrence
- Trump wants a deal and deterrence without US war involvement.
- His position keeps Iran cautious, preventing wider regional escalation.
Risks of Assassinating Iran’s Leader
- Assassinating Iran's Supreme Leader would have seriously hindered diplomacy.
- Israel's targeted killings disrupt groups but can provoke unpredictable consequences.