#199 - How to Avoid a U.S.-China War

May 13, 2024

Dale Copeland, author of 'A World Safe for Commerce', shares insights on dynamic realism and discusses U.S.-China relations. They debate the possibility of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan and how it could be a self-fulfilling prophecy. The conversation touches on the conditions for Dale's theory, multipolar vs. bipolar world, and the strategies to avoid a U.S.-China war.

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Introduction

00:00 • 2min

Dynamic Realism: Navigating Power Politics

01:41 • 7min

Interpreting China's Naval Buildup and Global Trade Protection

08:21 • 3min

Navigating Power Dynamics in International Relations

11:26 • 27min

Challenges of Amphibious Landing on Taiwan

38:24 • 4min

Geopolitical Concerns in East Asia

42:31 • 17min

Strategies to Avoid U.S.-China Cold War and Nuclear Conflict

59:41 • 5min

Navigating Geopolitical Relations: Lessons from the Cold War

01:04:18 • 3min

Dale Copeland joins the podcast to discuss his latest book, “A World Safe for Commerce.” He explains his theory of dynamic realism before pivoting to U.S.-China relations and an impassioned and thoughtful hot-take on why those predicting a Chinese invasion of Taiwan don’t just misunderstand China – they are participating in the realization of a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Link to Dale’s book: https://www.amazon.com/World-Safe-Commerce-Revolution-International/dp/0691172552

Timestamps:

(00:00) - Intro

(01:40) – Multipolar or bipolar world?

(11:07) – Dynamic Realism explained

(21:38) – Conditions for Dale’s theory

(28:17) – U.S./China relations

Referenced in the Show:

Link to Dale’s book: https://www.amazon.com/World-Safe-Commerce-Revolution-International/dp/0691172552

CI Site: cognitive.investments

Jacob Site: jacobshapiro.com

Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap

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