FDD Morning Brief | feat. Boris Zilberman (Nov. 6)
Nov 6, 2024
auto_awesome
Boris Zilberman, Director of Public Policy and Strategy at the Christians United for Israel Action Fund, discusses the recent U.S. election cycle's impact on Middle East dynamics. He delves into Israel's political instability, Iran's influence in training Gaza terrorists, and how U.S.-Saudi relations are shifting. Zilberman emphasizes the potential changes in U.S. foreign policy, especially regarding Israel and Iran, while highlighting Congress's role in navigating upcoming foreign aid requests and adjusting sanctions.
Netanyahu's firing of Defense Minister Gallant highlights profound political instability in Israel, raising concerns about the nation’s security amidst regional tensions.
The recent Republican victories in the U.S. midterms may escalate foreign policy assertiveness, particularly in diplomatic and military matters related to the Middle East.
Deep dives
Political Turmoil in Israel
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's sacking of Defense Minister Yoav Gallant reflects deep-seated issues within the Israeli government, including a breakdown of trust. This political instability has led to renewed protests across Israel, raising concerns about the country's vulnerability amidst ongoing tensions with adversaries. The recent upheaval is reminiscent of prior unrest, which some argue emboldened groups like Hamas to exploit perceived weaknesses in Israel's governance. With American political transitions also unfolding, the timing of this turmoil might inadvertently embolden Israel's enemies in the region.
Implications of U.S. Senate Control
The recent Republican victories in the U.S. midterm elections are expected to significantly shape American foreign policy moving forward, particularly as control of the Senate shifts. With a more favorable majority, the Republican administration will likely find it easier to confirm key nominations for positions such as Secretary of Defense and Secretary of State. Additionally, a stronger Republican presence in the Senate may influence the legislative agenda on foreign affairs, allowing for a more aggressive approach to diplomatic and military engagements, particularly in the Middle East. This shift could raise various strategic considerations for both allies and adversaries of the U.S.
U.S.-Saudi Relations and Iran Dynamics
Reports indicate that the U.S. and Saudi Arabia are negotiating a potential security agreement, a development that comes alongside complexities related to Iran's influence in the region. Unlike previous discussions, normalization with Israel does not appear to be on the table, indicating a more bilateral focus. The dynamics surrounding Iran's military capabilities and ongoing support of proxy groups like Hamas also remain a pressing concern. As tensions escalate, especially with Iran's regional ambitions and nuclear developments, the evolving U.S.-Saudi relationship will play a crucial role in shaping security strategies in the Middle East.
FDD Senior Vice President Jonathan Schanzer delivers timely situational updates and analysis on headlines of the Middle East, followed by a conversation with Boris Zilberman, the director of public policy and strategy at the Christians United for Israel (CUFI) Action Fund and former deputy director of congressional relations at FDD.