The Intelligence from The Economist Finally, a deal: the fragile peace in Gaza
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Oct 9, 2025 
In this discussion, Greg Karlstrom, The Economist's Middle East correspondent, shares insights on the newly brokered ceasefire between Israel and Hamas. He details the immediate terms and reactions from both sides, including Netanyahu's and Hamas's reservations. The conversation explores Donald Trump's influential role in facilitating the agreement and the complexities of what lies ahead regarding governance and statehood for Palestinians. Karlstrom highlights the fragile nature of the deal and the significant work that negotiators still face.
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What The Initial Deal Actually Does
- The immediate deal pauses fighting, mandates Hamas return living hostages within about 72 hours, and envisions partial Israeli troop withdrawals.
- It also allows a large increase in humanitarian aid while Israel retains control of over half of Gaza.
Public Messaging Masks Private Doubts
- Both Israel and Hamas publicly framed the deal positively to their domestic audiences despite private reservations.
- Netanyahu shifted messaging to call it a victory while Hamas thanked mediators but retained caveats about disarmament and withdrawal.
Trump As A Catalyst
- Donald Trump played a decisive role by pushing a plan aligned with Arab partners and pressuring Netanyahu to accept.
- Regional actors also pressured Hamas, making clear this was a last chance with severe consequences for refusal.