Reuters Econ World cover image

Reuters Econ World

Peak Oil

Sep 25, 2024
Simon Webb, the Global Commodities & Energy Editor, discusses the slowing growth of global oil demand and the pressing question of when it will peak. He delves into historical oil shocks and the evolution from supply concerns to demand dynamics, while highlighting China's electric vehicle revolution, which could slash oil consumption significantly by 2030. Additionally, Webb examines Nigeria's fuel crisis and OPEC+'s strategies amidst rising prices, shedding light on how these factors intertwine with geopolitics and climate policy.
23:26

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The shift in focus from peak oil supply to peak oil demand is driven by factors like electric vehicle adoption and energy transition policies.
  • OPEC faces significant uncertainty regarding production levels as forecasts suggest peak oil demand could occur as early as 2029.

Deep dives

The Shift from Peak Oil Supply to Peak Oil Demand

Historically, concerns surrounding oil production centered on the theory of peak oil supply, as highlighted by M. King Hubbert's prediction that U.S. oil production would peak in the 1970s. However, the reality diverged as high prices during supply shocks led to alternative energy sources and increased efficiency among consumers. The current discourse has shifted from potential supply shortages to questioning when global oil demand will peak, influenced by factors such as electric vehicle adoption and energy transition policies. This change in focus holds significant implications for investment strategies and global oil dynamics, as understanding demand trajectories is essential for long-term planning in the industry.

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