The Nuclear Ratchet: Crisis, Leviathan, and Atomic Weapons
Apr 1, 2024
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Economist Abigail Hall discusses crisis triggering government growth in nuclear proliferation context. They explore government size beyond spending metrics, ratchet effect in nuclear weapons, US policy response to threats, and implications of nuclear weapons on government power.
The ratchet effect explains how crises lead to permanent government expansion in scale and scope.
Government involvement during crises has long-term impacts beyond financial considerations, affecting daily life and policies.
Deep dives
Understanding the Ratchet Effect in Government Growth
The ratchet effect is a framework that explains how government expands in both scale and scope during crises, leading to a permanently larger-sized government. Despite temporary reductions post-crisis, government activities do not revert to pre-crisis levels. This expansion is not solely measured by fiscal spending but also by the range of government involvement in various activities. The ratchet effect highlights that crises prompt government growth beyond immediate needs.
Analyzing Government Scope beyond Fiscal Measures
Analyzing government scope requires a nuanced approach beyond fiscal measurements to capture the breadth of government activities. The focus is not only on monetary figures but also on understanding the real implications of government actions on domestic and international policies. Regulations and policies developed during crisis periods have long-term effects on citizens' lives, going beyond financial aspects. Scope analysis explores the impact of government activities on daily functioning and broader policy implications.
Applying the Ratchet Effect to Nuclear Weapons Policy
The expanded framework of the ratchet effect includes multiple crises leading to government expansion in response to threats. Using the example of nuclear weapons policy, the secondary crisis after the end of the US nuclear monopoly in the 1940s resulted in the creation of various bureaus, weapons systems, and surveillance programs. These expansions in scope demonstrate the government's increased coercive power and the intricate domestic and international ramifications of policy decisions.