
Outerblue Deciphering conflicting signals - Global Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
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Nov 7, 2025 In this engaging discussion, Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, shares insights from recent summits in Washington and Shanghai. She highlights a resilient economic outlook, predicting US inflation to hold around 3% by 2026. Monica explores the fascinating simultaneous rallies in equities and gold, attributing this to central bank policies and reserve diversification strategies. She also delves into Europe's evolving investment landscape, China's promising growth trajectory, and Japan's potential fiscal shifts under its new prime minister.
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Endurance Not Euphoria
- Global tone from IMF and Boao meetings is endurance rather than euphoria, with consensus constructive on risk assets.
- Inflation, especially in the US, may remain structurally higher around 3% for 2026 and is a key risk to monitor.
Why Stocks And Gold Rally Together
- Equities rally reflects central bank accommodation and strong tech earnings, while gold gains from reserve diversification and retail flows.
- These simultaneous rallies show markets price structural trends and investors seek diversification away from US dollar assets.
Europe's Transformation Gains Traction
- Europe is undergoing an innovation-led transformation plus strategic autonomy moves in energy and industrial policy.
- Investor interest in European assets is rising as reforms and private-sector investment accelerate the recovery story.

