
IEA Podcast Labour's Budget: Britain's Highest EVER Tax Burden | IEA Podcast
Nov 28, 2025
Dr. Kristian Niemietz, Editorial Director at the Institute of Economic Affairs known for his insights on fiscal policy, and Daniel Freeman, the Managing Editor who provides detailed budget analyses, dive deep into the latest budget by Rachel Reeves. They discuss the staggering £70 billion tax rise and its implications for the UK's highest-ever tax-to-GDP ratio. Notably, they critique the lack of real growth actions, the impact of progressive taxes on productivity, and the political oddity of new taxes with impending elections, painting a complex picture of Britain’s fiscal landscape.
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Budget Lacks Credible Growth Measures
- The OBR judged that none of the budget measures will materially boost potential output.
- Kristian Niemietz argues the budget contains no credible pro-growth actions and largely expands the tax take instead.
Tax Burden Rose £70bn In Two Budgets
- Over two budgets the government has increased the tax burden by £70bn, about 2% of GDP.
- Daniel Freeman notes most of this revenue funds spending that won't raise growth, like welfare and NHS expansions.
Welfare Expansion Absorbs Tax Gains
- Welfare spending is set to rise by about £16bn by the decade's end, pushing benefits toward £400bn including pensions.
- Freeman warns this largely absorbs income tax and national insurance changes without boosting productivity.
