Dr. Oliver Hartwich, Executive Director of the NZ Initiative, delves into the current state of democracy and the rise of populism. He critiques the evolution of political alignments, using case studies from Europe and the aftermath of Trump in the U.S. Hartwich highlights the tensions between authoritarianism and freedoms, particularly in New Zealand, while reflecting on historical political landscapes. He also tackles issues of disinformation and the complexities of political legacy, focusing on figures like Gerhard Schröder and the implications of corruption in democratic institutions.
Anne Applebaum's books highlight the fragmentation of political alliances in democracies, showcasing a troubling shift towards extremism among former allies.
The united front of authoritarian regimes against the West presents a significant challenge to liberal democratic ideals through coordinated hostility.
The erosion of democratic values, exacerbated by foreign disinformation and polarization, underscores the urgent need for vigilance and engagement in democratic practices.
Deep dives
Fracturing of Political Alliances
The discussion highlights Anne Applebaum's examination of the fracturing political alliances in post-Cold War democracies, as articulated in her book 'Twilight of Democracy'. The host relates this to his personal experience of losing friends within the center-right spectrum, noting a shift towards extremism among some former allies. Applebaum illustrates this trend through a nostalgic recounting of a 1999 New Year's Eve party in Poland, emphasizing the disheartening transformations of once like-minded individuals into figures representing divisive ideologies. This disintegration of previously unified anti-communist coalitions reflects broader stresses facing democracies in the West.
Rise of Authoritarianism and Extremism
Applebaum’s newer work, 'Autocracy, Inc.', outlines the coordinated hostility of various authoritarian regimes towards Western democracies. The podcast explores how countries like Russia, China, and Iran, despite ideological differences, unite against perceived threats from the West, especially the United States. Examples are drawn from current geopolitical events, such as the use of Iranian drones in Ukraine and mutual support among regimes during crises. This cooperation among autocrats poses a significant challenge to Western liberal democratic ideals, reinforcing the narrative of fragility in democratic institutions.
Erosion of Democratic Norms
The conversation delves into the erosion of democratic values, particularly in the context of Trump's presidency, contrasting it with historical figures like Nixon. The host expresses concerns about a winner-takes-all mentality that diminishes respect for democratic processes, observed in modern electoral behavior and public sentiment. Polls indicate increased polarization, where familial and interpersonal relationships are strained by political affiliations, which were previously less contentious. This cultural shift reflects a dangerous trend where the core values of democracy are increasingly undermined by divisive politics and the reluctance to engage thoughtfully across party lines.
The Role of Foreign Influence in Polarization
A significant insight from the discussion is the idea that foreign adversaries, particularly Russia, actively exploit societal divisions within the West to weaken democratic structures. The podcast discusses how disinformation campaigns, conspiracy theories, and political polarization are being amplified by external actors, creating an environment ripe for division and hostility. The host underscores that the ongoing cultural wars are not purely homegrown but rather exacerbated by foreign strategies to undermine Western unity. This manipulation of public discourse serves to distract and destabilize democratic societies, illustrating the necessity for increased vigilance against such influences.
Challenges and Resilience of Democracy
While acknowledging the current frailty of democracies in countries like Poland and Hungary, the conversation maintains a glimmer of optimism regarding democratic resilience. Recent electoral outcomes, such as Poland's shift in government, demonstrate that democratic institutions can endure and adapt, despite pressures from authoritarian figures like Viktor Orbán. The discussion recognizes the complexities faced by democracies, emphasizing that while challenges persist, the core institutions often prove to be more robust than perceived. This resilience suggests a potential for revitalization, contingent upon the willingness of societies to engage in democratic practices and uphold the rule of law.
Dr Oliver Hartwich is the Executive Director of the NZ Initiative; New Zealand’s premier free-market think tank.
Before joining the Initiative, he was a Research Fellow at the Centre for Independent Studies in Sydney, the Chief Economist at Policy Exchange in London, and an advisor in the UK House of Lords. Oliver holds a Master’s degree in Economics and Business administration and a PhD in Law from Bochum University in Germany.
Join myself, Damien Grant, and Dr Hartwich as we discuss the book Autocracy, Inc, and Twilight of Democracy, both written by Anne Applebaum.