BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast New Zillow Forecast: 10 Predictions for the 2026 Housing Market
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Jan 9, 2026 Zillow's bold predictions for the 2026 housing market spark some lively debate. From the surprising concept of 'kidfluence' shaping home choices to a rise in 'lifestyle renters' opting for long-term leases, the conversation covers it all. Home prices are expected to gain modestly while mortgage rates may hover above 6%. There's also a discussion around the potential for new construction to attract savvy investors and the implications of affordability on renters. Tune in for insights that are sure to make you think!
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Prices Likely Stay Close To Flat
- Dave Meyer and Zillow both expect national home prices to be roughly flat in 2026, with Zillow slightly positive and Dave slightly negative.
- Balance between inventory and demand makes large national price moves unlikely next year.
Underwater Mortgages Could Tick Up
- More mortgages underwater depends on whether prices slightly decline; Dave expects a marginal increase in underwater loans if prices fall.
- He isn't worried unless underwater mortgages combine with forced selling.
Plan For Rates Just Above 6%
- Expect mortgage rates in 2026 to average just above 6%, so plan financing accordingly.
- Use a 5.5%–6.5% range for scenario planning and stress-test deals at ~6.1% average.