The Magnificent Seven: What if Big Tech Starts to Shrink?
Nov 8, 2023
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The podcast explores the dominance of the Magnificent Seven Stocks in the tech industry and their impact on the S&P 500's returns. It discusses the financial aspects of big tech companies, their investment in AI development, potential competition, challenges they face, and the lifespan of companies in different stock indexes. Cultural differences in Japan, where companies have a longer lifespan, are also explored.
The dominance of the Magnificent Seven stocks in the S&P 500 index is attributed to the US's ability to grow and scale tech companies, supported by a strong VC ecosystem.
The future dominance and sustainability of the Magnificent Seven stocks face challenges from potential commoditization, decreasing profit margins, competition from international players, and regulatory impact.
Deep dives
The Dominance of the Magnificent Seven Stocks
The podcast episode discusses the dominance of the so-called Magnificent Seven Stocks in the S&P 500 index. These stocks, including Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft, have been incredibly successful and have accounted for almost all of the S&P 500's returns this year. The speaker highlights that the US's ability to grow and scale tech companies, along with a supportive VC ecosystem, has contributed to the success of these companies. The episode also touches upon the importance of these companies in daily life, as their products and services are widely used and have created a global business ecosystem.
Challenges and Risks for the Magnificent Seven
The episode explores the challenges and risks that the Magnificent Seven stocks face, particularly regarding their future dominance and sustainability. It mentions the potential threats of commoditization and decreasing profit margins for some of these companies, especially in the cloud services sector. The episode also highlights the risk of competition, both from other US companies and from international players, with a particular emphasis on the rise of Chinese tech companies in areas such as EVs and software services. Additionally, the speaker discusses the potential impact of regulation and its role in shaping the future landscape for these companies.
The Lifespan of Companies
The podcast delves into the lifespan of companies and highlights the significant changes in the business landscape over time. It mentions the historical data that shows how companies in the S&P 500 index have seen a decrease in their average lifespan, indicating the rise of creative disruption and the entry of new innovative companies. The episode contrasts this trend with the longevity of some Japanese companies, attributing their sustained existence to cultural factors and a different approach to business. However, it also discusses the challenges faced by multinational companies in maintaining their size and sustainability.
Predictions for the Future
In the final segment, the podcast speculates about the future of these dominant companies and presents different perspectives on their potential longevity. The speaker highlights the importance of adaptability and the ability to innovate as key factors for sustained success. While acknowledging the risks and challenges, the episode also emphasizes the role of quality factors, such as strong balance sheets and growth potential, that could contribute to the resilience and continued dominance of these companies. Ultimately, the speaker suggests that only time will tell which of these companies will remain at the top in the years to come.
The “Magnificent Seven” stocks have reigned supreme this year, accounting for almost all of the S&P 500’s returns. But what if these titans of tech begin to stumble? And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: How long do companies last?
Thanks to IG for sponsoring this episode. Find out more about IG Smart Portfolios via https://upl.inc/h46sgc
IG is also offering new IG Smart Portfolio accounts 50% off the management fees until November 2024 when you open a new account via this link. That’s a management fee of just 0.25%, capped at £250 per year.
Note that this offer is only open to UK residents, over the age of 18 years old, who meet the eligibility criteria for an IG Smart Portfolio account. The offer only applies to new IG Smart Portfolio accounts opened via the above link on or before 30 November 2024 (and will not apply to existing IG Smart Portfolio accounts or to any other product or service offered by IG). This offer begins on 1 November 2023 and ends on 30 November 2024. Please contact IG at helpdesk.uk@ig.com for any assistance.
Please be aware that investing puts your capital at risk.
This podcast is for informational and entertainment purposes and is not financial advice. We do not provide recommendations or endorse any decision to buy, sell or hold any security. We cannot be held responsible for any actions listeners may take and investors are encouraged to seek independent financial advice.
Copyright 2023 Many Happy Returns
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