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Finshots Daily

Decoding India’s 7.6% GDP

Dec 4, 2023
05:37
Snipd AI
This podcast breaks down India's 7.6% GDP growth for July to September 2023, with a focus on the significant role of the manufacturing sector, which experienced a growth of 13.9%. It also discusses concerns about consumer demand, unsecured personal loans, limited contribution of agriculture, and the role of consumption in driving the economy.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The manufacturing sector's high growth rate of 13.9% in India's GDP needs to be understood in the context of a low base and previous decline, highlighting the need for more detailed analysis of the sector's performance.
  • The growth in private final consumption expenditure in India's economy, driven by unsecured personal loans, may be at risk due to tightening regulations, potentially impacting overall consumption and hindering GDP growth.

Deep dives

Manufacturing sector growth on a low base

The GDP growth figure of 7.6% for India may appear spectacular at first glance, but the manufacturing sector's growth of 13.9% needs further context. Last year, the manufacturing sector experienced a decline of -3.8%, so the current growth is comparatively higher due to the low base. While manufacturing has grown in the past couple of years, the headline number doesn't reflect all the details. Another indicator, the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), also confirms increased activity compared to last year, although manufacturing companies have not been producing as much lately. Whether factories will produce more depends on the demand from consumers.

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