

Episode 4635: Where We Stand Heading Into 2026 And The Midterms
Jul 16, 2025
Richard Barris, a pollster known for his expertise in response bias, Tom Fitton, president of Judicial Watch focused on transparency, and political strategist Alex DeGrasse delve into the complex terrain of the lead-up to the 2026 midterms. They tackle the challenge of accurate polling amid disinformation, discuss GOP strategies to engage younger voters, and highlight the importance of effective economic messaging. The conversation also addresses ongoing investigations, the Epstein case's transparency demands, and concerns about political influence in education.
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Polling Challenges and Alliance Formed
- Traditional polling accuracy has suffered during the Trump era, requiring new methods to capture the MAGA movement sentiment accurately.
- Independent pollsters formed an alliance to improve polling accuracy and serve as a trusted gauge for political insights.
Response Bias in Polling
- Response bias is the main factor causing inaccurate poll results, not frequent shifts in public opinion.
- Polling with larger, consistent samples improves accuracy in the modern era of declining response rates.
Impact of Poor Messaging on Support
- Despite major legislative successes, the messaging around presidential accomplishments suffers due to unpopular issues overshadowing them.
- Messaging discipline is key to properly communicate economic gains to the public and maintain support.