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Robinson's Podcast

189 - David Albert & Barry Loewer: The Mentaculus (Or, a Probability Map of the Universe)

Jan 12, 2024
David Albert and Barry Loewer discuss the Mentaculus, their joint project on probability, determinism, and more. They explore subjective and objective perspectives on probability, the relationship between microscopic and macroscopic descriptions of the world, time's arrows, the measurement problem in quantum mechanics, and the influence of evaluating counterfactuals on free will and agency.
01:54:36

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Quick takeaways

  • The Mentaculus provides a comprehensive framework for understanding time asymmetries in areas like thermodynamics, epistemology, and action theory.
  • The concept of time in the Mentaculus incorporates an asymmetry that allows for influencing the future but not the past, challenging the argument of determinism and free will.

Deep dives

The Meticulous: Explaining Time Asymmetries

The Meticulous is an architectural structure that aims to explain various time asymmetries, such as the thermodynamic time asymmetry, the epistemic time asymmetry, and the causal time asymmetry. It consists of three components: the microscopically deterministic dynamical laws of motion, a statistical postulate about probability distributions over initial conditions, and the past hypothesis. The past hypothesis, contrary to its name, is not already presupposing a distinction between past and future, but rather explains the time asymmetries. By adding these components, the Meticulous provides a comprehensive framework for understanding the asymmetries found in areas like thermodynamics, epistemology, and action theory. The exact nature of the dynamical equations of motion and the interpretation of the past hypothesis are yet to be determined, but the Meticulous offers a promising approach to understanding the fundamental structure of the universe.

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