What next for US-Africa relations under a second Trump administration?
Jan 16, 2025
auto_awesome
The potential impact of a second Trump administration on U.S.-Africa relations sparks lively discussion. Kenyan economists share insights on how trade policies could evolve, along with concerns from local business owners. The critical role of remittances from the African diaspora, exceeding $90 billion, is emphasized, showcasing their importance for many African economies. Additionally, the effects of U.S. immigration policies on migration flow and family stability in Africa are examined, painting a vivid picture of interconnected economies and migrant experiences.
Under a potential second Trump presidency, U.S.-Africa relations may shift towards protectionism, causing concerns among African economies about losing trade partnerships.
Despite potential protectionist policies, Trump's Prosper Africa initiative could gain momentum, aiming to strengthen trade ties and facilitate significant investment between the U.S. and Africa.
Deep dives
The Impact of Trump's Protectionist Agenda on Africa
Donald Trump's second presidency may significantly shift U.S. engagement with Africa towards a more protectionist agenda, as indicated by his campaign rhetoric focusing on 'America First'. Many in Africa express concerns that his administration will prioritize domestic U.S. economic policies over foreign trade relationships. However, there is also a belief that despite this inclination, Trump cannot completely disregard trade ties with the continent, given its growing importance to global economic dynamics. Observations in Kenya suggest visible connections with American businesses, highlighting the potential consequences for African economies if such relationships are disrupted.
Prosper Africa Initiative and Its Future
The Prosper Africa initiative, launched during Trump's first term, aimed to boost trade and commercial ties between the U.S. and Africa by assisting investors from both regions in finding business partners. Positive outcomes from this initiative have been acknowledged by Kenyan economists, who estimate that around $120 billion in deals have been facilitated over the last five years. With Trump's return, experts predict that he might amplify efforts to further enhance this initiative, as it represents a significant part of his trade legacy with the continent. Nonetheless, there are concerns that despite these initiatives, general perceptions of Trump's attitudes towards Africa could hinder future diplomatic relations.
Visa Policies and Economic Consequences for African Migrants
The forthcoming Trump administration raises questions about the future of U.S. immigration policies, particularly the H-1B visa program, crucial for skilled foreign workers, many of whom hail from Africa. Trump's history suggests potential restrictions on this program, leaving many aspiring migrants concerned about their prospects. The economic ramifications of his immigration policies could be substantial, especially concerning undocumented African migrants, whose remittances play a vital role in their home economies. Experts warn that any mass deportations could negatively impact families that rely on the income of these workers, thus affecting many African countries' economic stability.
We look at what a second Donald Trump presidency could mean for Africa, hearing from economists and business owners.
We explore some of the existing trade pacts between the US and Africa, and consider the significance of remittances - the money sent back home by African migrants living overseas.
If you would like to get in touch with the show, please email: businessdaily@bbc.co.uk
Presented and produced by Michael Kaloki
(Picture: Then President Donald Trump walks with the former Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta on the White House colonnade as they make their way to the Oval Office, on February 6, 2020 in Washington, DC. Credit: Getty Images)
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode