The Rest Is Politics 414. Israel vs. Iran: What Happens Next
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Jun 13, 2025 Rory and Alastair dive into the escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, examining the recent military strikes and their historical context. They discuss how Israel's actions could reshape international relations and the implications for U.S. foreign policy. The duo also navigates the intricacies of military strategy and public perception, revealing the complex narratives surrounding both nations. Economic impacts, especially concerning global oil prices, add another layer to this riveting geopolitical analysis.
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Effectiveness of Israeli Strikes
- Israel's strikes targeted nuclear and military leaders, showcasing an effective military operation.
- Past fears of large ballistic or proxy retaliation were mitigated by prior Israeli actions against Hezbollah and Iran's air defenses.
Netanyahu's Justification for Strikes
- Netanyahu justified the strikes on intelligence about Iran's imminent nuclear capabilities.
- The IAEA's report of Iran breaching obligations likely pushed Netanyahu to act now.
International Law and Preemptive Strikes
- Israel's unilateral strike raises questions about international law and norms.
- There is a dangerous normalization of preemptive strikes without global consensus or oversight.