In this episode, Nik Bhatia and Matt Dines explore the seismic shifts in the global economy, focusing on China’s deflationary crisis, America’s industrial resurgence, and Bitcoin’s accelerating role in financial markets. They examine China’s collapsing sovereign bond yields, aging demographics, and reliance on exports, signaling deep economic challenges and policy uncertainty. Shifting to the U.S., Nik and Matt analyze the rise of industrial policy, reshoring momentum, and the impact of a strong dollar in navigating inflation and growth. They discuss the risks of tax cuts in a post-2024 political landscape and the transformative potential of the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act as a generational policy shift. Closing with Bitcoin’s emergence as a major player in corporate debt markets, led by MicroStrategy’s use of convertible bonds, Nik and Matt paint a picture of a world where Bitcoin is no longer on the sidelines but at the center of the global economic realignment.

📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc

Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball

Chapters:

00:00:00 Impact of China's Bond Market on Bitcoin  

00:06:53 Challenges Facing China's Economic Growth

00:13:43 China's Strategic Economic Challenges  

00:20:41 Post-WWII Economic Imbalances  

00:26:43 Evaluating U.S. Economic Growth and Policy Prospects  

00:33:28 The Impact of a Strong Dollar on Inflation and the Economy

00:40:15 Volatility in International Capital Markets  

00:47:01 2024 Bond Market Projections and Trends

00:54:06 Reshoring and the US Chip Foundry Endeavor

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.