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Bankless

The 2023 Recession with Coinbase's David Duong

Oct 3, 2023
01:08:49
Snipd AI
Joining us today is David Duong, Head of Research at Coinbase, discussing macro economics, yield curves, election fears, US equities, and the recession.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Equities are currently at high levels due to growth and outperformance, particularly in the US stock market, with concerns about equity prices as higher bond yields may impact valuation.
  • The US government's significant fiscal spending has provided a boost to the US economy, which has outperformed other countries, but concerns arise as this stimulus is expected to taper off in 2024, potentially leading to a downturn.

Deep dives

Equities are high due to growth and outperformance

Equities are currently at high levels due to growth and outperformance, particularly in the US stock market. Other countries seek access to the US stock market as their economies struggle. However, there are concerns about equity prices as higher bond yields may impact valuation. The relationship between bond yields and equities is complex and not always predictable. Additionally, the correlation between crypto and equities has been low recently, with crypto outperforming equities on a risk-adjusted basis. This may be due to various factors such as increased institutional interest and positive regulatory developments.

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