83. Batteries and Solar overcapacities lead to price collapse; Munich auto show; Lithium M&A; Green Steel
Sep 9, 2023
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Roger Atkins, who participated in the Munich auto-show, discusses the implications of Chinese overinvestment in batteries and solar, leading to price collapses. Joe Lowry provides insights on the flurry of M&A activity in the Lithium mining sector. The podcast also explores the booming green steel industry and the exorbitant compensation of Lucid CEO.
China's overinvestment in batteries and solar is leading to price collapses, pushing battery prices down and making electric vehicles more cost-competitive.
The Chinese dominance in the solar industry and surge in M&A activities in the lithium market pose threats to the European solar industry while driving lithium prices down.
Deep dives
Massive Overcapacity of Battery Production in China
The podcast highlights the significant overcapacity of battery production in China. With plans to develop EVs and stationary storage, China's battery factories under construction are three times the planned capacity, leading to a massive increase in battery production. This overcapacity pushes costs down for everyone and encourages innovation in the industry. As a result, battery prices have been cut, and the cost of batteries at the pack level is now below $100 per kilowatt hour. This development poses a significant threat to the internal combustion engine, as electric vehicles become more cost-competitive.
Chinese Dominance in Solar Industry and Lithium Market
The podcast discusses the Chinese dominance in the solar industry and the flurry of mergers and acquisitions happening in the lithium market. The Chinese are running a dumping campaign in the European solar industry, flooding the market with solar modules below production costs. As a result, the European solar industry is under acute danger. The Chinese solar companies, being listed and profitable, are able to sell at much lower production costs compared to their German counterparts. In the lithium market, there is a surge in M&A activities with companies like Glenn Carr, Albert Mail, and Mineral Resources acquiring lithium miners and developers. The Chinese are also starting to extract lithium from Africa, which was not previously on the radar. These developments are driving lithium prices down, despite the increasing demand for electric vehicles.