Handicapping The NFL In 2025 & Cutdown Day

10 snips

Aug 27, 2025

Chris Raybon, an analyst at the Action Network, shares his betting wisdom and insights on NFL handicapping. He discusses the underwhelming NFL Cutdown Day and its impact on fantasy football rankings. Expecting scrutiny around surprising cuts, Raybon assesses player developments, including updates on Brandon Ayuk and Chris Godwin. The conversation shifts to 2025 predictions, focusing on team win totals, standout players, and how injuries may influence outcomes. With strategies for prop bets and fantasy drafts, it's a must-listen for football enthusiasts.

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INSIGHT

Cutdown Day Was Underwhelming

Cutdown Day produced few blockbuster moves and felt underwhelming for big-name changes.
Christopher Harris frames Cutdown Day as more about roster bookkeeping than major fantasy-impacting trades.

ADVICE

Watch PUP/IR Moves Before Adjusting Ranks

Track PUP and IR designations closely because they change early-season fantasy depth and Week 1 availability.
Don't assume a player avoided PUP means immediate return; watch team reports before moving them up in ranks.

ANECDOTE

Brian Robinson Almanac Rewrite

Christopher Harris read and updated Brian Robinson's Almanac profile live, including a rewritten section about his trade to San Francisco.
He described Robinson's role in Shanahan's backfield and recommended drafting Robinson inside the top 100 as a McCaffrey handcuff.

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NFL Cutdown Day happened on Tuesday, and...it was a little underwhelming? At least in terms of big names changing teams, Cutdown Day didn't really deliver. But we *did* get some pretty big roster news elsewhere, with players who did and didn't wind up going on PUP lists and IR lists. We'll handle that material, we'll read Brian Robinson's *new* Almanac profile, and then we'll have a look at the handicapping market for the NFL in 2025. What team win totals do we like and not like, who do we like to lead the major stat categories, are there player props we like, etc. Fun show! Guest: Chris Raybon from The Action Network.

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Our 2025 NFL bets:

* Team you feel strongest about going OVER their win total? (Raybon - Steelers over 8.5; Harris - Jets over 5.5)

* Team you feel strongest about going UNDER their win total? (Raybon - Dolphins under 7.5; Harris - 49ers under 10.5)

* Team you feel best bet to MAKE the playoffs? (Raybon - Broncos (-165); Harris - Vikings (-120))

* Team you feel best bet to MISS the playoffs? (Raybon - Vikings (+100); Harris - Patriots (-140))

* Favorite bet for a playoff team (can be to win Super Bowl, to make Super Bowl, to make Conference Final, etc.)? (Raybon - Chiefs to make Super Bowl (+400), Jaguars to win AFC South (+280); Harris - Lions to make Super Bowl (+550))

* Favorite bet on NFL Leading Passer? (Raybon - Patrick Mahomes (+900), Trevor Lawrence (+2200), C.J. Stroud (+1500); Harris - Jared Goff (+1200))

* Favorite bet on NFL Leading Rusher? (Raybon - Ashton Jeanty (+1800), TreVeyon Henderson (+10000); Harris - Christian McCaffrey (+1100))

* Favorite bet on NFL Leading Receiver? (Raybon - Brian Thomas (+1300), Ladd McConkey (+3500), Amon-Ra St. Brown (+2200), Drake London (+1500); Harris - CeeDee Lamb (+1000))

* Jayden Daniels over/under 3450.5 pass yards? (Raybon OVER; Harris OVER)

* Brock Purdy over/under 23.5 TD passes? (Raybon OVER; Harris OVER)

* De’Von Achane over/under 875.5 rush yards? (Raybon UNDER; Harris UNDER)

* Ashton Jeanty over/under 7.5 rush TDs? (Raybon OVER; Harris UNDER)

* Brian Thomas over/under 1150.5 receiving yards? (Raybon OVER; Harris OVER)

* Puka Nacua over/under 5.5 receiving TDs? (Raybon OVER; Harris OVER)