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Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, discusses the bull vs. bear case for Bitcoin ETFs. Topics include potential inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, predicting investor behavior, estimating BTC price impact, bear case for BTC ETF, ETH ETF argument, and the potential impact of ETF launch on Bitcoin price.
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Quick takeaways
- The launch of a Bitcoin ETF is projected to cause a 74.1% price appreciation in the first year due to substantial inflows, potentially creating a positive price trend.
- The approval of Bitcoin ETFs would not only provide accessibility for large institutional investors and wealth advisors, but also legitimize and institutionalize the asset, attracting more investors.
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Bitcoin ETF Launch: Anticipating Increased Price Impact
The launch of a Bitcoin ETF is expected to have a significant impact on the price of Bitcoin. In the first year following the launch, it is estimated that there could be a 74.1% price appreciation. This projection is based on an analysis of potential inflows into the ETF, which are predicted to be substantial. While the exact amount of inflows and their impact on price cannot be predicted with certainty, this analysis suggests a positive price trend. It is important to note that this estimate does not take into account factors such as market timing or potential front-running, which could influence the actual price impact.
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