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Goldman Sachs The Markets

The case for a tech comeback

Aug 16, 2024
Peter Callahan, a sector specialist in Technology, Media, and Telecommunications at Goldman Sachs, teams up with equities sales trader Mike Washington to dive into the tech sector's ups and downs. They discuss the potential for megacap tech stocks to regain their leadership amidst shifting investor sentiment towards generative AI. Key catalysts, including upcoming earnings and Federal Reserve rate cuts, are analyzed, along with insights from the Jackson Hole symposium that could reshape market trends.
07:21

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Investor sentiment has shifted, reflecting skepticism around AI potential and high valuations despite significant year-to-date performance in tech stocks.
  • The upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate cuts could influence tech stock behavior, necessitating careful evaluation of economic indicators and investment strategies.

Deep dives

Current Sentiment Around Tech Stocks

The recent decline of major tech stocks has shifted investor sentiment, with a growing skepticism about the immediate potential of artificial intelligence (AI) and its associated costs. Over the past 18 months, excitement around AI technologies has fluctuated, as investors grapple with high valuations and a lengthy timeline for monetization and widespread adoption. Despite a significant pullback of 20% to 30% from their highs, many tech stocks, particularly in the semiconductor and generative AI sectors, remain up over 20% for the year. This reveals an underlying complexity in market emotions, highlighting a mix of optimism and caution as investors reconsider what these performance metrics indicate for future growth prospects.

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