Market May Be Topping Out & Then Likely To Re-Test The Lows | Michael Lebowitz

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May 4, 2025

Michael Lebowitz, a seasoned portfolio manager, discusses the current market climate, suggesting that stocks might soon peak before re-testing previous lows. He shares insights on navigating today's financial volatility, the impact of tariffs, and the potential for recession, emphasizing the importance of flexibility in investment strategies. Additionally, they delve into how low oil prices and government policies affect market confidence, all while reminding listeners that true wealth is about enriching life experiences, not just accumulating assets.

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INSIGHT

Market Likely Retsesting April Lows

Michael Lebowitz expects the market has likely formed an intermediate top and will probably retest April lows.
Despite the current rally, he advises cautious risk reduction through position adjustments and shorts.

INSIGHT

S&P Resistance Points to Stall

The S&P key resistance level aligns with major moving averages and prior peaks, creating a likely stall point.
Breaking through this resistance would require reassessment and could lead to less conservative market positions.

INSIGHT

Three Market Scenarios Ahead

Three market scenarios are possible: roller coaster dip and rally, optimistic recovery, or tariff-driven recession.
The most likely is volatility before settling, with a return toward highs later this or next year.

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Despite the growing investor enthusiasm for the recent sharp rally in stocks, we're still in a "sell the rip" environment counsels portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz.He thinks it's more likely that stocks top out soon, to then fall to re-test the April lows.We discuss his reasons why, as well as bonds, tariffs, recession risk, the Federal Reserves likely next moves, as well as his firm's recent trades in this week Market Recap.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketrally #tariffs #recession _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.