Greg Kuhl, a Global Property Equities Portfolio Manager at Janus Henderson, dives into the booming market for senior housing, revealing lucrative investment opportunities in REITs as the population ages. He discusses AT&T's turnaround and newfound investor confidence amidst past mistakes. The conversation also touches on Intel's struggles in the semiconductor landscape, while shedding light on the REIT market's recovery, driven by inflation and interest rates. Kuhl outlines exciting prospects in assisted living and retail investments, emphasizing strategic management.
The surge in demand for senior housing driven by an aging population highlights the importance of strategic investments in this sector.
Intel's struggle with market share loss and heavy cash burn underscores the challenges faced by legacy tech companies in adapting to new demand trends.
Deep dives
The Growth of Senior Housing
Senior housing, particularly assisted living, is experiencing significant demand due to demographic shifts. The over-80 demographic is projected to grow substantially through the end of the decade, with a demand growth rate of 4% to 5% annually. This is coupled with the fact that this older generation is wealthier than their predecessors, allowing more individuals to afford these services. Furthermore, the recent higher interest rate environment has hindered new construction, exacerbating the supply-demand imbalance, which is expected to keep occupancy rates and prices high.
Challenges Facing Intel
Intel is undergoing a tumultuous period, marked by CEO Pat Gelsinger's recent departure amidst declining stock performance. The company's challenges stem from its dual role in chip design and manufacturing, which has led to losses in market share to competitors like AMD and Taiwan Semiconductor. While Intel has aimed to bolster manufacturing capabilities, this strategy involves substantial financial expenditure, leading to significant cash burn. The company's heavy dependence on the PC market, combined with slow adoption of AI chips, raises concerns about its ability to effectively navigate future industry demands.
The Decline of Stellantis
Stellantis has recently faced a dramatic decline in sales and profits, despite having enjoyed record performance during the pandemic. The company's focus on high-priced vehicles, including luxury models, has alienated cost-conscious consumers who are now seeking more affordable options amidst rising insurance and loan costs. Dealers have reported excess inventory that is difficult to sell, reflecting a misalignment with market demand. The outlook for Stellantis appears challenging, with fewer affordable models in the pipeline and a market that is increasingly favoring hybrids over electric vehicles.
Attractive Investment Opportunities in REITs
Certain Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are being identified as promising investment avenues amidst fluctuating market conditions. The demographics driving senior housing and the sustained demand for data centers both offer potential growth and price stability. Investment in senior housing REITs like Well Tower is favored due to expected cash flow growth and a high occupancy rate projection, while data centers benefit from increasing demand driven by tech giants like NVIDIA. These sectors, along with stable retail segments, provide opportunities for investors interested in capital appreciation and steady returns.