Politics Now

Why the RBA held rates

Jul 8, 2025
Mortgage-borrowers are reeling from the RBA's unexpected decision to maintain the cash rate at 3.85%. The chat dives into the economic implications of this choice amid global instability. The hosts dissect the balance between inflation fears and growth sustainability. They also shed light on the RBA's newfound transparency in decision-making and its impact on public perception. Additionally, trade negotiations and the upcoming diplomatic visit to China add layers of complexity to Australia's political landscape.
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INSIGHT

Why the RBA Surprised Everyone by Holding Rates Steady

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) shocked many by deciding to keep the cash rate steady at 3.85%, despite widespread expectations of a rate cut.

This decision reflects the RBA's caution amid ongoing global economic uncertainty, including geopolitical tensions and unpredictable supply chain issues. Inflation has stabilized within the 2-3% target band, but the RBA remains wary due to a still-tight labor market and wages growing faster than productivity.

Notably, the RBA board vote showed a split with six members in favor of holding and three dissenters, highlighting internal debate. Treasurer Jim Chalmers expressed frustration but respected the RBA's independence, signaling political sensitivity around the decision.

The RBA is likely to continue a slow, measured approach to rate changes, considering the complex and uncertain global economic environment rather than rushing cuts or hikes.

INSIGHT

RBA's Cautious Rate Hold

  • The RBA kept rates steady due to global uncertainty and a cautious approach.
  • The inflation fight is largely won, but risks remain with a tight labor market and wage growth.
INSIGHT

Transparency in RBA Voting

  • Disclosure of the RBA board vote split reveals internal disagreement.
  • Transparency about differing views may boost public confidence in decision-making.
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