Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast John Mearsheimer: Bleak Future of Europe - Defeated & Broken
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Nov 26, 2025 
John Mearsheimer, a renowned political scientist and expert in international relations, explores the dismal future of Europe. He argues that Europe’s stability hinges on U.S. military presence, especially in light of rising tensions with Russia. Mearsheimer highlights how the Ukraine war is straining U.S.-European ties and the risks posed by a potential U.S. withdrawal. He details Russia's core demands for peace and warns of greater instability in Europe if the current geopolitical framework collapses.
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U.S. Presence Is Europe's Pacifier
- European stability has long depended on a substantial U.S. military presence that acts as a pacifier via NATO.
- A rising multipolar world and a U.S. pivot to Asia threaten that American security umbrella and European peace.
Multipolarity Forces A U.S. Pivot
- The shift from unipolarity to multipolarity, especially China's rise, compels the U.S. to reallocate resources to Asia.
- That structural change reduces the likelihood the U.S. will sustain large forces in Europe long-term.
Ukraine War Strains Transatlantic Ties
- The Ukraine war has poisoned U.S.–European relations and given American politicians added incentive to disengage from Europe.
- That diplomatic rift compounds the structural pull toward an American pivot away from Europe.