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Thucydides Trap: are America and China destined for war?

The Fourcast

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The Dangers of Recognizing Taiwan as an Independent Country

In January of 24, the Taiwanese have an election. The current government's candidate will be the Vice President Eric Lie. He in his heart and even publicly is very eager to declare Taiwan an independent country. That's on the one hand. Secondly, we have November 24 American elections and it's quite possible that the Republican candidate and even the Republican platform will call for recognition of Taiwan as anindependent country. This is again an extremely dangerous idea.

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