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Best of 2022: Julia Galef | The Benefits of Seeing the World as It Is
The Unmistakable Creative Podcast
What Is My Probability of Success?
This was another theme that has come up a lot in self help, and especially kind of business books about how to succeed. And I think this has a lot of intuitive pull for people, especially because there's no correct, objectively discoverable answer about what is my probability of success. Like, it's not like rolling a die where, you know, we can say, yes, you have a one and six chance of rolling a six or something like that. It's a much messier situation to look at your startup and say like, what is the probability that it's going to succeed? There's not like one true probability that you could discover.
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