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Dylan Grice, Calderwood Capital – Popular Delusions, The End of Duration & Esoteric Investment Opportunities | #406

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

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The Presner's Dilemma

Aness: I worry that we've kind of entered into this self reinforcing dynamic ge trust is kind of breaking down. Theoretical terms, when you play the presner's dilemma dynamically all the time, what you find is that the winning st agy oscillates between co operation and non co operation. And i just worried that we're moving into this very distrustful, uncooperative phase, which can get quite nasty. Bulding a portfolio doesn't depend on your ability to make those forecasts - it has to be undeniable ignorance. But wy right, you ow something that's going to be robust to different regimes.

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