3min chapter

Odd Lots cover image

Richard Koo on China's Risk of 'Japanification'

Odd Lots

CHAPTER

The Role of the Foreign Sector in the Chinese Economy

During balance sheet recession, tax cuts should not be the main force of supporting the economy. Construction accounts are something like 26% of Chinese GDP whereas during bubble days in Japan, it was only around 20%. And so when asset prices collapse but construction boom also goes bust, then you hit from both the real side as well as from the balance sheet side. But on the construction side, if government comes in and help finish those projects that was started, I think that kind of money will probably go a long way in helping the Chinese economy.

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