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How to Protect Yourself From Black Swans
The safest investment that you can make over the long run is a very simple strategy. You invest in the S&P 500 and you hold on to it, but you're not going to blow up. A black swan is totally unpredictable and this seems definition of us and can happen very rapidly. The idea is just to try to avoid taking too much risk.
On today’s episode, Clay chats with Scott Patterson about his new book - The Chaos Kings.
The Chaos Kings tells the story of the hedge fund that achieved average annual returns of over 105% from 2008 through 2019, and how Bill Ackman had a $27 million dollar bet that turned into over $2.6 billion.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
00:00 - Intro.
02:35 - Who the Chaos Kings are.
05:38 - The story of Nassim Taleb and Mark Spitznagel setting up a hedge fund that delivered average returns of 105% annually.
06:12 - How these hedge funds profit tremendously during times of calamity.
16:14 - What led Nassim Taleb to get interested in the markets.
24:55 - Why we should be mindful of just how uncertain the world and our global economy is today.
complexity theory - What complexity theory is.
28:51 - How investors can protect themselves from a black swan event.
45:02 - How Taleb and Spitznagel viewed the world differently than conventional wisdom.
53:12 -How predictable Black Swan events are.
57:41 - Looming Black Swans that Taleb sees in today’s world.
60:49 - What the precautionary principle is.
63:23 - Taleb and Spitznagels take on the systemic risks in the financial system today.
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
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