The Fed's Pivot Narrative: Services Inflation Slows Down

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The Fed Fund Futures is pricing in a full-on pivot. The yield curve as well got to negative 100 basis points, so that's the spread between the two-year treasury and the 10-year treasury. So there's literally no evidence whatsoever of services inflation slowing down.

Itay Vinik is the Co-Founder & Chief Investment Officer at Equi, an alternative investment platform that brings investment strategies to accredited investors.

Today, Itay returns to the pod to answer the question: can the Fed thread the needle between inflation and recession?

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------ Topics Covered

0:00 Intro 6:00 Itay Returns 8:00 Reflecting on 2022 12:04 Equi Portfolio 15:35 Threading the Needle 19:10 Destroying Wealth 26:45 Accelerating Chaos 29:10 Inflation and Monetary Supply 38:30 The Fed is Bleeding 43:30 Small Cap Stocks 46:00 Will the Fed Pivot? 55:14 Economic Recession 1:01:14 Recession Indicators 1:02:59 Hopium 1:06:24 The US Banking System 1:09:44 How to Analyze the Economy

------ Resources:

Itay Vinik https://twitter.com/VinikItay?s=20

Equi https://www.equi.com/

Links to our recent macro series https://youtu.be/pP_HHE0kFhA https://youtu.be/E8lxrsF29u0 https://youtu.be/-DzY_pCFGbI. https://youtube.com/live/eregdZPLYjg. https://youtu.be/5sNCrPAwt6w

----- Not financial or tax advice. This channel is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. This video is not tax advice. Talk to your accountant. Do your own research.

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