2min chapter

Mining Stock Education cover image

Commodity Supercycle Assured Due to Supply-side Underinvestment explains Analyst Joe Mazumdar

Mining Stock Education

CHAPTER

What Was Your Worst Macro Commodity Call?

As an analyst, you have a lot of experience as an analyst working with Phelps Dodge. What was your worst macro commodity call and why did you get it wrong? Okay. Well, I mean, if we go back there, what we used to do, so I used to have this model of demand and supply where we use industrial production to model demand. We did not predict China's growth, which was double digits. It was like 15 to 20%. When we were saying it would be five to seven. And then every year we would get that wrong because we couldn't think that they would actually grow that fast.

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