This Hidden Bull Market Is Hiding In Plain Sight
Money Tree Investing
Intro
In this chapter, the hosts mix humor with a discussion of current events, including the new pope's election and the absurdities of betting market predictions. They also critique sensationalist media narratives about environmental issues, advocating for a more skeptical approach to fear-based headlines.
This hidden bull market is actually lying in plain sight! Find out what it is today as we discuss media fear-mongering, unhelpful propaganda, Bitcoin and gold, and more. The central banks continue accumulating gold, emphasizing its historical role as a long-term store of value, and noting that despite the rise of digital assets like Bitcoin (which the U.S. now holds as a reserve), gold's cultural and material significance remains deeply embedded worldwide. Oh, and we also got a new Pope!
We discuss...
- A new Pope from the U.S., Pope Leo XIV (formerly Robert Prevost of Chicago), was elected, contradicting Jim Cramer's confident prediction.
- The Pope had a 1% chance in betting markets, showing how off-market odds can be and how unexpected outcomes can deliver large returns.
- A widely shared headline warned that Earth will run out of oxygen, but buried in the article was the timeline—1 billion years from now.
- Climate change is a hard-to-measure issue that’s often politically weaponized and based on unprovable long-term models.
- Propaganda exists across all eras and agendas, including pro-America messages like those in 80s movies such as Top Gun.
- Spotting propaganda and political messaging can be useful for investors trying to understand broader narratives and their market implications.
- Governments often downplay crises right before they hit, and historically, such reassurances can be a red flag to start worrying.
- Recognizing themes in media, like global warming or military conflicts, can help investors anticipate policy moves or market shifts.
- Nuclear energy is an example of a rational solution ignored for political reasons, illustrating how policy can ignore practical options.
- Wealthy investors and central banks are buying more gold, reinforcing gold's role as a long-term store of value.
- Gold continues to be culturally significant and trusted across civilizations, unlike newer assets like Bitcoin.
- The U.S. government has decided to hold confiscated Bitcoin as a reserve asset, further legitimizing it in financial circles.
- There's growing speculation that Bitcoin could evolve into a reserve asset for central banks, similar to gold.
- Banks have transitioned from resisting Bitcoin to finding ways to monetize it, suggesting institutional acceptance is rising.
- Gold has significantly outpaced wage growth since 2000, reinforcing its strength as a store of value amid stagnant real income.
- Crypto has displaced silver as the inflation-hedge asset of choice among younger investors, hurting silver’s narrative.
- Long-term tailwinds for silver include green tech applications like solar panels and EVs, which could reignite demand.
- Gold and silver miners have underperformed despite rising bullion prices, with some major miners currently unprofitable.
- Mining companies face structural inefficiencies, making many poor business models despite gold’s rise.
- Institutional caution, reflected in moves by figures like Warren Buffett, indicates potential market hesitancy despite retail optimism.
Today's Panelists:
Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners
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For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/hidden-bull-market-711
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