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#219 – Toby Ord on graphs AI companies would prefer you didn't (fully) understand

80,000 Hours Podcast

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Navigating Uncertainty in AI Development and Performance Trends

This chapter examines the unpredictability of AI performance, focusing on methods like iterated amplification and distillation. It highlights the complexities affecting timelines for transformative AI advancements, exploring factors that could either hasten or impede progress.

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