4min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

Breaking Down Warren Buffett's 2023 Shareholder Letter | Yun Li

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

Is the Fed Really Going to Be in the Driver's Sheet?

The market pricing for Fed rate cuts in the second half of 23 is approaching zero, which means the market is no longer pricing in rate cuts in 2023 at all. So that's long bonds and it's tech stocks and crypto, but I'm not right. And yeah, I struggle to see an environment in which bonds perform where the Federal Reserve is still hiking. But this recession could be one in which, you know, the price of copper is at four bucks because China is reopening vigorously as a major oil consumer.

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