2min chapter

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#596: The Mystery, Science, and Life-Changing Power of the Hot Hand

The Art of Manliness

CHAPTER

Hot Hand Fallacy - What Did Trevisky Miss?

For 35 years, the fact that you shot the same when you were hot was always taken as bullet proof evidence against the hot hand. But what these two young american economists in europe found was this bias that shows that if you are a 50 % shooter, and you shoot 50% when you feel hot, that actually is evidence for the hot hand. And we have been looking at this very old problem in the wrong way for like, almost four decades.

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