2min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Is the Election Forecast Using Out of Date Race Ratings?

Martin says the calibration article was really good. However, it was based on the last forecast before the election. Martin: Why not look at earlier forecasts? For example, one month or two months before. I'd argue that they have much more impact on people than the one just before Election Day.

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