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A 2023 Global Macro Outlook | Joseph Wang & George Goncalves

Supply Shock

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The Fed's Financial Conditions Have Eased?

High inflation limits policy flexibility in black. The Fed tightens in purple. Real rates surge. Then in gray, we have financial conditions. FCI, Titan. That's where we are now. However, there's kind of been a turn in financial conditions. Financial conditions have eased. But to me, that was the one instance in the December FMC meeting in which Powell kind of wavered. He didn't really go for the kill. So yeah, both I just want to have this chart up so our viewers can see it. And then dive into financial conditions about which, you know, Joseph, you know a lot and George, your charts following is also excellent.

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