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Ep: 95 Steven Pinker‘s ”Rationality” Chapters 1 & 2 Remarks and Analysis

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A Simple Forecasting Problem Quote

David Deutsch's new book uses the conjunction fallacy to predict future events. The idea that if you put these two things together they seem to be more probable than one of the things on their own is mathematically impossible, he says. But framing it in terms of probability is problematic for a number of reasons according to author David Frum. "None of them in the list are matters of probability" - Frum.

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