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Jim Grant Sees an Era of Higher Rates That Could Last For Years
Odd Lots
The Long Cycle of Higher Rates
The long-term path would be upwards in terms of interest rates, but not linearly. From 1946 to 56, the movement up in the long data treasury was 100 basis points. It went from two and a half to three and a half over 10 years. So yeah, we could have a recession and rates pull back, and then they resumed the rise.
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