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Surveillance: Yield Forecast with HSBC's Major

Bloomberg Surveillance

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The Positioning of the Euro

positioning data is clear that essentially folks are on board with the short-dollar trade. The question is, if credit conditions tighten, can the euro really rally? And we saw that with SGB when we had the financial conditions tighten. I actually thought it was remarkable how it didn't go much lower during that period of crisis. So the positioning is one thing in FX. Yes, it's long euro. But I don't think investors are overly net long euro to make a big risk for this trade right now.

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