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The Futility of Recession Forecasting as Part of an Investment Process

This Week in Intelligent Investing

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Do You Think We're Going Into a Recession?

The s and p 500 was down about 20 % the rustof two thousand was down more than that. The 60 forty portfolio, which i mentioned in our inner discussion, is probably the worst performance its ever had. If you didn't own all oil, there was pretty much nowhere to hide, other than just a handful of commodities like that. And so people are feeling a lot of pain. But if we're in a recession right now, which i kind of doubti, it doesn't really matter,. What you should be looking at and what you should be carying about going forward has nothing to do with economic conditions.

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